Sunday 10 June 2018

CPEC is yet another manifestation of Pakistan's strategic ties with China-2


Note: Due to the length of the article. This is the continuation of the first part.
Seeing increasing tensions between USSR and China, Washington wanted to capitalize the development by approaching China secretly. China asked US to come through Pakistan. This was the paramount example of friendship and trust. This adds to the global image of Pakistan. Washington approached Islamabad and asked to play its role of good office and Pakistan did respond it well. Henry Kissinger went to China on Pakistan International Airline (PIA) on July 9, 1971. This trip accomplished an agreement that President Nixon would visit China in 1972.[1] Pakistan was praised internationally and US congratulated Pakistan for its services. Not only US, China also approached Muslim countries through Pakistan and relation between Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and China is an eminent example of the diplomatic assistance that Pakistan provided to China. 1970’s is important in Sino-Pakistani relation because Pakistan decided to acquire the great neutralizer, atomic bomb, after the fall of East Pakistan. International community was against Pakistan’s ambitions except China. On several visits to Beijing, China assured Pakistan of assistance. Diang Xioping expressed Chinese policy in 1975 in following words:[2]
“[China does] not advocate nuclear proliferation at all, but we even more oppose nuclear monopolies.”
Chinese rational on assisting Pakistan in acquiring nuclear bomb was not only based upon Pakistan’s balancing role in the region but China was also in need of assistance of the high enrichment technologies for its nuclear program.[3] Therefore, both Pakistan and China, proved vital for each other and a strategic relation was reaffirmed as both were deprived of certain Western technologies. Chinese nuclear program was not capable to counter US and Soviet threat as it was nowhere near to their technologies. Therefore, Pakistan offered China to share the technologies, particularly the designs of centrifuge that Dr. A.Q.Khan had bought from URENCO’s facilities in Netherland.[4] Such an offer was not made to China by any country. Hence, this cooperation between China-Pakistan was two way and strategic relation is the one that entails the benefit of both the parties. Dr. A.Q.Khan also handed over his work on centrifuge rotors to Chinese scientists, to strengthen the China-Pakistan defense cooperation.[5] China helped Pakistan whole heartedly by providing five lead-lined, stainless steel boxes each containing 10 single-kilogram ingots of highly enriched uranium (HEU) enough for two atomic bombs in 1982. China had already given 15 tons of uranium hexafluoride (UHF) to ensure that Pakistan’s nuclear program continued according to schedule.[6] This was the first time when a nuclear country proliferated HEU to a non-nuclear state but not the last time, as China again exported five thousand ring magnets in 1994, which helped Pakistan to double its production of highly-enriched uranium.[7] Andrew Small describes this cooperation:
“If military relationship lies at the heart of China-Pakistan ties, nuclear weapon lies at the heart of the military relationship.”
Though China faced international isolation followed by two-year freeze of high technology sale to Beijing but this did not stop China in helping Pakistan to pursue nuclear bomb and in May 1998 Pakistan emerged as a seventh nuclear country in the world with nuclear tests in Chaghi, Baluchistan. This defense cooperation continued to achieve new milestones in the form of JF-17 Thunder, in response to American refusal of F-16s to Pakistan, in November 2009, Al-Khalid tank in 1990s and Pakistan’s first cruise missile manufactured in 2005 based upon Chinese model of DH-10 [8] are examples of Sino-Pakistani strategic relation.  Pakistan and China have cooperated with each other in all aspects except in commercial economy, aspect of economy that is tied with the exchange of goods and services[9], and Andrew Small quote Ye Hailin[10], in this context:
The objective [of Pakistan-China relation] has not been to strengthen the two countries welfare interests but to strengthen them against common threats.”
 Realizing that economy now plays a greater role in strategic relations of countries, leaders of two strategic partners felt the need to enhance their relations in commercial economy as well, so as to strengthen their strategic relations.
Pakistan and China are natural trade partners. The current boarder between two nations is a part of traditional Silk route used for the trade of spices, cotton and porcelain. This trade route has been revamped in the form of China’s One Belt One Road Initiative and of which China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a $62 billion project, is a flagship project. CPEC fills the gap of commercial economy in China-Pakistan strategic relations. CPEC is a corridor from Kashgar, Xianjiang, China to Pakistan’s port city of Gwadar. It has three routes; Western, Central and Eastern route. Along its way from Kashgar to Gwadar there will be industrial and economic parks.  CPEC will make both countries strategically important for each other. China sees CPEC as an important gateway for its transformation from regional to global power and an opportunity to extend its reach from Indian Ocean to Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean Sea.[11] Moreover, 40% of China’s oil comes from Gulf States and currently it has to cover 16,000 km to reach Eastern China’s ports of Shanghai and Shenzhen, crossing Straits of Malacca and South China Sea. With the control of its global competitor, US, on Strait of Malacca and increasing tensions in South China Sea, China cannot afford to remain dependent on any other force in order to accomplish its aims of global power. Moreover, CPEC will reduce 16,000 km of distance to only 5,000 km.[12] It will also provide China access to African states, in order to fulfill requirement of raw material for its increasing industry. CPEC will also give China a strategic depth in the Indian Ocean, as Gawadar port is a part of Chinese policy of “String of Pearl”, a string of sea ports in Indian Ocean.[13]  However, Pakistan is a potential beneficiary in this project. It will enhance the stagnant economy of Pakistan by increasing its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to about 1.5-2% annually.[14] Currently, Pakistan has a shortfall of 7000MW and it shed 2-2.5% of its annual GDP[15]. CPEC will reduce the energy shortfall  as 71% of the total amount has been allocated for energy projects [16]and notable projects include Sahiwal 2x660MW Coal-fired Power Plant, Punjab, 2×660MW Coal-fired Power Plants at Port Qasim Karachi and Thar Mine Mouth Oracle Power Plant ( 1320MW) & surface mine.[17] Accumulatively it will add 12,610MW electricity to Pakistan’s national grid. Moreover, 21% of CPEC investment is in the infrastructure sector[18], which includes the extension of Karakoram Highway (KKH), Capacity Development of Pakistan Railways and Peshawar-Karachi Motorway (Multan-Sukkur Section).[19] The rest of 2% is invested to cater Pakistan’s requirement of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG).[20] CPEC will not only help China to eradicate militancy in Xinjiang province but will also help Pakistan to counter insurgencies in Baluchistan. CPEC, will increase the diplomatic relations between China and Pakistan. Rejecting India’s concerns over the CPEC going through Gilgit Baltistan, condemning Indian backing of Baluchistan insurgencies, supporting Pakistan’s inclusion in Nuclear Supplier Group in response to Indian application and vetoing bid to black list Masood Azhar of Jaish-e-Mohammad are events that occur after the approval of CPEC and are prime examples of enhanced diplomatic support between Beijing and Islamabad.[21]                                     
            Consequently, Pakistan and China relation is a paramount example of strategic relations. Unlike, US relations with European countries, Pakistan and China do not share same civilizational and cultural background but still their friendship is no less than US-EU nexus. Beijing-Islamabad partnership has defined the geo-politics of the South Asia and has played a major role in balancing relations in the region. Though, both countries had strong security and diplomatic relations but lacked economic relations and have bilateral trade of $16 billion, even less than China-Vietnam trade of $64 billion where Vietnam has economy half the size of Pakistan.[22] However, this missing brick has been placed in the form of CPEC and has strengthened the existing strategic relations between China and Pakistan by giving their relation a new direction.







Total Words Including footnotes: 2689

Bibliography

CPEC official Website. CPEC-Energy Priority Projects. http://cpec.gov.pk/energy

CPEC official Website. CPEC-Infrastructure Priority Projects. http://cpec.gov.pk/infrastructure

Ebrahim, Zofeen T.  China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: A boon for the economy, a bane for locals. 12 May 2016. https://www.dawn.com/news/1236159


Indo-Soviet relations. http://shodhganga.inflibnet.ac.in/bitstream/10603/16826/8/08_chapter%201.pdf

Kiani,Kaleeq. Power cuts return as shortfall touches 7,000MW.8 May,2017. https://www.dawn.com/news/1331738

Naseem,Imran and Khan, Jawad. Impact of Energy Crisis on Economic Growth of Pakistan. Vol.7, 2015. http://iiste.org/Journals/index.php/JAAS/article/download/19574/19442
Riffat, Hamza and Maini, Tridivesh Singh. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: Strategic Rationales, External Perspectives, and Challenges to Effective Implementation.

Roche, Elizabeth. China again blocks bid in UN to list Masood Azhar as a global terrorist. 2 Nov. 2017. https://www.livemint.com/Politics/ABEmOW05luaAgJjaVcrfqI/China-says-no-consensus-over-listing-Masood-Azhar-as-global.html

Small, Andrew. The China-Pakistan Axis: Asia’s New Geopolitics. Hurst & Company, London,2007.

US-China Institute. Getting To Beijing: Henry Kissinger's Secret 1971 Trip. 21 July 2011. https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip

Zeb, Rizwan. PAKISTAN-CHINA RELATIONS: WHERE THEY GO FROM HERE? UNISCI Discussion Papers, Nº 29, May 2012. https://revistas.ucm.es/index.php/UNIS/article/viewFile/40659/38981.


[1] US-China Institute,Getting To Beijing: Henry Kissinger's Secret 1971 Trip, 21 July 2011, https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip.
[2] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 27
[3]  Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 32
[4] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 33
[5] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 34
[6] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 34
[7] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 41
[8] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 41
[9] Business Dictionary, http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/commercial-economy.html
[10] Director of the Center for International Strategic Studies of the Research Institute
[11] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 1
[12] Zofeen T. Ebrahim, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: A boon for the economy, a bane for locals,12 May 2016, https://www.dawn.com/news/1236159
[13] Hamza Riffat and Tridivesh Singh Maini, The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: Strategic Rationales, External Perspectives, and Challenges to Effective Implementation, Page 8.          
[14] Riffat and Maini, The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Page 4
[15] Riffat and Maini, The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Page 4
[16] Riffat and Maini, The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Page 7
[17] CPEC official Website, CPEC-Energy Priority Projects, http://cpec.gov.pk/energy
[18] Riffat and Maini, The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Page 7
[19] CPEC official Website, CPEC-Infrastructure Priority Projects, http://cpec.gov.pk/infrastructure
[20] Riffat and Maini, The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Page 7
[21] Elizabeth Roche, China again blocks bid in UN to list Masood Azhar as a global terrorist,2 Nov. 2017, https://www.livemint.com/Politics/ABEmOW05luaAgJjaVcrfqI/China-says-no-consensus-over-listing-Masood-Azhar-as-global.html
[22] Small, The China-Pakistan Axis, Page 96

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